QBTS is the primary short: Conf 10 (2F), S3 [12] fired, institutional convergence at 87% strength, Dev PASS at $25.02. DNA is the secondary: COILED 80%, Conf 9 (2F), 100% WR (9/11). Breadth CONFIRMING +6/8 on the major indices caps index short sizing at 0.5x. The one number is $25.33.
STRESS RECOVERY (NEUTRAL) — bonds on, equities and risk both off, bond-equity correlation at 0.49. That correlation reading neutralises the ACCUMULATION bonus and cuts all sizing by 25%. The structural caveat is that breadth is CONFIRMING at +6/8 on the major indices — 58.8% of stocks above their 50MA, 60.6% above their 200MA — which means index shorts should be held at 0.5x. The individual stock setups (QBTS, DNA) offer cleaner risk-reward than the index trades today.
| # | Ticker | Dir | Entry (dev · price) | Trigger | Invalidation | Edge (WR · Conf · Comp) | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | QBTS | Short | 🔒 Members | 🔒 Members | 🔒 Members | 67% (12/17) · Conf 10 (2F) · Building 96% · Conv 87% | 0.75x |
| 2 | DNA | Short | 🔒 Members | 🔒 Members | 🔒 Members | 100% (9/11) · Conf 9 (2F) · COILED 80% | 0.75x |
| 3 | ZBRA | Short | 🔒 Members | 🔒 Members | 🔒 Members | 73% (15/20) · Conf 5 (3F) · Dev PASS · S2 Active | 0.5x |
| 4 | SP500 | Short | 🔒 Members | 🔒 Members | 🔒 Members | 64% (11/11) · Conf 5 (3F) · Breadth caution | 0.5x |
| 5 | NAS100 | Short | 🔒 Members | 🔒 Members | 🔒 Members | 75% (8/8) · Conf 5 (2F) · Breadth caution | 0.5x |
If you watch one: QBTS — Conf 10 (2F), S3 [12] fired, institutional convergence active at 87% strength, Dev PASS at $25.02. The highest-conviction setup on the board today. Levels and execution in the full board below.
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The IVT framework reads institutional volume, compression, and VWAP deviation to identify high-probability setups before they move. QBTS. DNA. ZBRA. SP500. Structured, every session.
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