SP500 is the primary long: S3 fired, Dev PASS at +0.11% (~$7,437), Conf 6 (4F), 64% WR 11/11 clean. NAS100 is the secondary: Conf 7 (4F), 53% WR 17/17, Dev OPEN at 0.6% from AVWAP. TTEK is the counter-trend short: 93% WR 15/15, Bearish, STRESS RECOVERY 0.46 on the stock side. The one number: $7,429.
ACCUMULATION — bonds on, equities and risk not yet confirmed at the regime level, but improving beneath the surface. Composite +1/9 with Macro Bonus +2. Bd-Eq Corr 0.25 on the major indices — normal range, no stress flag. Breadth is CONFIRMING at +6/8: 62.7% above 50MA, 82.4% above 200MA. The stock-level caveat: individual equities (BKNG, BRK-B, PLUG, TTEK) show their own Bd-Eq Corr at 0.46 — reduce sizing 25% on those names until correlation normalises.
| # | Ticker | Dir | Entry (dev · price) | Trigger | Invalidation | Edge (WR · Conf · Comp) | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SP500 | Long | 🔒 Members | 🔒 Members | 🔒 Members | 64% (11/11) · Conf 6 (4F) · S3 Active · Exp 55% | 0.75x |
| 2 | NAS100 | Long | 🔒 Members | 🔒 Members | 🔒 Members | 53% (17/17) · Conf 7 (4F) · Exp 55% | 0.75x |
| 3 | Russell | Long | 🔒 Members | 🔒 Members | 🔒 Members | 93% (14/14) · Conf 6 (1F) · Building 87% | 0.5x |
| 4 | TTEK | Short | 🔒 Members | 🔒 Members | 🔒 Members | 93% (15/15) · Conf 5 (1F) · Stress Rec 0.46 | 0.5x |
| 5 | BRK-B | Long | 🔒 Members | 🔒 Members | 🔒 Members | 93% (28/30) · Conf 3 (2F) · S3 Recent · Stress Rec 0.46 | 0.5x |
| 6 | PLUG | Long | 🔒 Members | 🔒 Members | 🔒 Members | 75% (8/8) · Conf 7 (2F) · Building 98% · Stress Rec 0.46 | 0.5x |
If you watch one: SP500 — S3 active, Dev PASS at +0.11% (~$7,437 AVWAP), Conf 6 (4F), 11/11 clean. The highest signal-quality setup on the board. Every level and execution detail in the full board below.
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The IVT framework reads institutional volume, compression, and VWAP deviation to identify high-probability setups before they move. SP500. NAS100. TTEK. Russell. Structured, every session.
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