US2000 carries the board's top setup: maximum volatility compression (COILED 100%), Conf 7 confirmed across three independent timeframes, 92% WR (12 for 12 clean), ACCUMULATION flow. GILD flips bearish at near-maximum compression — Conf 9 (2F), COILED 91% — at a level where market direction governs. Regime is bifurcated: indices read ACCUMULATION (+2 macro bonus), individual stocks still in STRESS RECOVERY (Bd-Eq Corr 0.48). One number decides the session: SP500 AVWAP $7,437.
ACCUMULATION at the index level — conditions improving beneath the surface before equities officially confirm. Composite +1/9: only the Liquidity layer is ON. Individual stocks carry STRESS RECOVERY (Bd-Eq Corr 0.48 — bonds and equities moving together) — reduce single-stock position size 25%. Major index correlation is Normal (−0.04); no reduction on index trades. SP500 AVWAP $7,437 is today's structural gate — equity layer turns ON if SP500 closes above it. Breadth CONFIRMING at +6/8: 64.3% above 50MA [+1], 83.5% above 200MA [+1], McClellan 35.4 [+1]. Raw breadth panel shows McClellan at −30.9 and only 48.6% above 200MA — structural breadth is mixed, not confirmed. Summation index at +13,518 remains constructive. Don't size as if the regime has upgraded until SP500 closes above $7,437.
| # | Ticker | Dir | Entry (dev · price) | Trigger | Invalidation | Edge (WR · Conf · Vol Comp) | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US2000 | Long | 🔒 Members | 🔒 Members | 🔒 Members | 92% (12/12) · Conf 7 (3F) · COILED 100% | 0.75x |
| 2 | GILD | Short | 🔒 Members | 🔒 Members | 🔒 Members | Conf 9 (2F) · COILED 91% · dir-dep | 0.75x |
| 3 | GMED | Long | 🔒 Members | 🔒 Members | 🔒 Members | 100% (14/14) · Conf 5 (3F) · PASS | 0.75x |
| 4 | BRK.B | Long | 🔒 Members | 🔒 Members | 🔒 Members | 92% (28/30) · Conf 5 (2F) · Building 79% | 0.75x |
| 5 | SPIR | Short | 🔒 Members | 🔒 Members | 🔒 Members | 88% (14/16) · Conf 5 (1F) · Building 89% | 0.5x |
| 6 | BG | Long | 🔒 Members | 🔒 Members | 🔒 Members | 100% (9/9) · Conf 1 (1F) · SD2L active | 0.75x |
If you watch one: US2000 — maximum volatility compression (COILED 100%), Conf 7 confirmed across three timeframes, 92% WR (12/12 — perfect recent record), ACCUMULATION flow with Macro Bonus +2. No setup on today's board combines this level of compression, confidence, and clean signal history. Entry, trigger, and invalidation are inside.
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