Friday Brief · October 2, 2026 Free Edition

No Record Is Not A No. Veralto Leads Without One.

Four charts on this scan have almost no trading record behind them, and the best of them is still a trade. Veralto sits $1.13 above its cost line with confirmation 9 and seven finished signals. The dollar-yen long waits on payrolls and one number: 158.50.

Date Friday, October 2, 2026

Access Free edition, complete

Scanned 23 instruments

Captured 06:38–08:49 CEST, pre-market

Timeframe 4-hour throughout

Terminal IVT v14.4

If You Read Nothing Else

Buy	VLTO and HIMS long, half size, inside their entry windows now. Seven and eleven finished signals. Thin records, real charts.
Wait	USDJPY long, half, on a 4-hour close above 158.50. The jobs number decides it.
Wait	SPCX short, half, on a 4-hour close below $147.30. The most confirmation on the scan and no record at all.
Skip	CEVA, for a second day. Amber light, but the volume on a short still leans 18% to buyers.
Avoid	CTVA. Its −78% reading is Thursday's spin-off, not a signal.

Market Update

Payrolls Into 5.34%

September payrolls print at 14:30 CEST. Consensus sits at 93,000 jobs and 4.1% unemployment, after August's 162,000 ran through a 58,000 forecast. The 10-year Treasury touched 5.34% on Thursday, its highest since 2002, and jobless claims fell for a fourth week to 197,000. A hot number lands on a bond market already at its limit, which is why the bond layer of the terminal stays off.

Corteva Splits In Two Corteva spun off its seed business as Vylor on Thursday and the stock fell about 82% as that value left it. The −78% distance on the CTVA chart below is the spin-off, not a collapse.
SpaceX Gets Heavier Its weight in the Nasdaq 100 rose to 2.82% from 1.28% in September's rebalance. It only listed this summer, which is why the record panel on its chart still has nothing to show.

Where The Market Is

Cycle stateInflationary Pump

Strength+1 of 10.5

Money flowingOff

Stocks joiningOn

Risk appetiteOn

Fear levelLow · 16

Tailwind for longs+1

Bonds vs stocks0.56 to 0.73

Same as Thursday on every capture. Stocks and risk on, bonds off, strength +1 of 10.5, one step from flat. Bonds and stocks move together at 0.56 on US names and 0.73 on the yen, so a Treasury hedge still covers little.

Participation

The terminal's broad-market panel still reads Diverging, −7 of 8. It moved the right way, though. 22.9% of stocks sit above their 50-day average, up from 20.9% on Thursday, and 41.2% above their 200-day, up from 40.6%. The McClellan oscillator climbed to −28 from −41.4. Better. Not good. Nothing on the Board goes above half size.

The Board · Every Qualified Setup, Ranked

#	Ticker	Dir	Why it is on this list	Size
1	VLTO	Long	Sitting just above the price large money paid, wound tight, and its cost line has only been crossed five timesConf 9 / 1 frame · coiled 77% · record: 7 of 20 signals, no rate · no light yet	x0.5
2	USDJPY	Long	Coiled on its cost line with the only record on the Board that is long enough to readConf 8 / 2 frames · coiled spring 69% · +.06R over 177 signals · amber, improving, 7.6-point cushion	x0.5
3	SPCX	Short	A tier 2 sell from a range wound to the maximum, on the strongest agreement anywhere on the scanConf 13 / 2 frames · coiled spring 100% · convergence 94% · record panel error · no light	x0.5
4	HIMS	Long	Wound to 87% on its cost line, inside the windowConf 7 / 1 frame · coiled 87% · record: 11 of 20 signals, 3 open · no light yet	x0.5

#	Name	Side	Entry (distance · price)	Trigger	Get out at	Size
1	VLTO	Long	+1.21% · $94.62 band $91.62–$95.36	None. Inside the window now	$92.90	Half
2	USDJPY	Long	+0.06% · 157.80 buy no higher than 158.80	4h close above 158.50	157.15	Half
3	SPCX	Short	−1.36% · $148.10 band $145.64–$150.14	4h close below $147.30	$152.40	Half
4	HIMS	Long	+1.00% · $29.32 band $28.16–$29.90	None. Inside the window now	$28.10	Half

If you watch one, watch Veralto. The yen has the better record, +.06R over 177 signals, but its trigger sits 70 pips above the price and payrolls get there first. Veralto is already in its window with the higher confirmation.

This one is free. The other four this week were not.

Every level, every execution block and all 23 terminal captures, with nothing held back and no gate anywhere on the page. Monday through Thursday the entry levels sit behind the member wall. Every Friday the whole thing ships open.

Includes the IVT Regime Playbook (PDF), the nine regime states and how to trade each.

How To Take The Top Three

1 · VLTO Veralto · LONG · NYSE · 4h

What you are doing: buying a water-quality company at the price large money paid for it, on a chart that has respected that price since August, on a record too short to rate.

Entry

Cost line $93.49, window $91.62 to $95.36. New money buys up to $95.36, never above.

Trigger

None to wait for. Thursday's last 4-hour bar dipped to $93.60 and closed back at $94.62. A 4-hour close under $93.49 voids the entry.

Get out at

$92.90, under the September low of $93.05.

Evidence

Cost line crossed 5 times in 41.7 bars a side. No light until the record reaches 20.

Size

Half. First target $96.55, Thursday's high, then $98.14, the line that capped September.

Veralto 4-hour IVT chart: bullish bias, VWAP deviation +1.21 percent inside a 2 percent window, dev filter open with next cross qualifying, confirmation score 9 on one timeframe, coiled at 77 percent compression, trend light unproven while the record builds, 7 of 20 finished signals needed, trending anchor hold at 41.7 bars a side with 5 crossings, price 94.62. — **VLTO · 4h.** Thursday's last bar dipped toward the cost line and closed back above it.

2 · USDJPY Dollar / Yen · LONG · FX · 4h

What you are doing: buying the dollar against the yen if payrolls push it out of a coiled range that sits right on its cost line.

Entry

Cost line 157.70. Buy on the trigger, no higher than 158.80.

Trigger

A 4-hour close above 158.50, Thursday's high. The bar that decides it contains the payrolls print.

Get out at

157.15, under Thursday's low of 157.23.

Evidence

Convergence 77%. Record range −.01 to +.12, almost clear of zero.

Size

Half, set by the amber light. Target 159.22, the September high, then 160.30.

US dollar versus Japanese yen 4-hour IVT chart: bullish bias, VWAP deviation +0.06 percent, dev filter open with next cross qualifying, confirmation score 8 across two timeframes, coiled spring setup at 69 percent compression, institutional convergence active at 77 percent, bond-equity correlation 0.73, amber trend light at half size improving with 7.6 point cushion, record +.06R over 177 resolved signals with range -.01 to +.12, price 157.796. — **USDJPY · 4h.** Coiled on its cost line, 70 pips under the trigger, hours before payrolls.

3 · SPCX SpaceX · SHORT · NASDAQ · 4h

What you are doing: selling this summer's listing as its tightly wound range tips under the cost line, with no record behind the call at all.

Entry

Cost line $150.14, window down to $145.64. Sell on the trigger, never below $145.64.

Trigger

A 4-hour close below $147.30, Thursday's low.

Get out at

$152.40, a 4-hour close back above Thursday's high.

Evidence

Bullish on Thursday at +0.52%, bearish this morning. The anchor still needs 250 bars of history.

Size

Half. Target $143.50, the September base.

SpaceX 4-hour IVT chart: bearish bias, VWAP deviation -1.36 percent, dev filter pass, confirmation score 13 across two timeframes, signal tier 2, coiled spring setup at 100 percent compression, institutional convergence active at 94 percent, trend light unavailable with a record error, anchor hold still building and needing 250 bars, price 148.10. — **SPCX · 4h.** Flipped bearish overnight. The most confirmation on the page and no record under it.

The One Number

Dollar / Yen · Thursday's High

158.50

The pair trades at 157.80, ten pips over its 157.70 cost line. Payrolls land at 14:30 CEST, an hour before US stocks open, so this is the first level on the Board the jobs number can reach. A 4-hour close above 158.50 opens the half-size long. A close under 157.15 ends it for the day.

Looked At And Left Alone

Name	Distance from cost	Comes back at	Why it is not a trade
ENS	Not captured	$184.78 window top	Thursday's long. The scanner had it at $189.59 at Thursday's close, above the window. Hold, no adds, exit stays $179.30.
CEVA	−0.98%	Window open, $34.77 edge	Amber, holding, 12.5-point cushion, confirmation up to 7 from 4. Volume still leans 18% to buyers. No short into that.
CF	−0.69%	Window open	Amber and improving, but the bias flipped bearish and confirmation is 2 on one frame. Tuesday's $117.60 long trigger never filled.
DIS	−2.62%	$102.02	Amber, holding, compressed 85%. Past its 2% short window by 0.62 points.
RXRX	+2.13%	Window open	Confirmation 2 on one frame. Too little agreement, not too little history.
VFF	+0.61%	Window open	A long with 17% of the volume on the sell side. Confirmation 2.
CECO	+1.3%	Window open	Confirmation 9, coiled 89%. Red and fading. .00R over 47 signals.
NTR	+0.04%	Window open	Confirmation 7 across three frames, filter passed. Red, holding. −.02R over 26 signals.
BRK.B	+0.99%	Window open	Confirmation 6 across two frames. Red and fading. +.03R over 83 signals.
DNLI	−0.6%	Window open	Tier 2 short, filter passed. Red and fading. −.03R over 33 signals.
MDGL	−1.28%	Window open	Anchor crossed only 3 times. Red, holding. +.02R over 32 signals, range −.13 to +.17.
AMPS	−0.2%	Window open	Record panel error, confirmation 4 on one frame, cost line crossed 14 times. Nothing to size.
CTVA	−78.21%	None	Thursday's spin-off reset the price. Every reading on the chart is distorted until the anchors rebuild.
VYGR	−30.65%	None	Snapback signal active 30% under cost. Red and fading. Selling here sells the low.
Six more	−2.34% to +2.79%	AMZN and WTRG shut	AMZN, MA, MCHP, FLR, CRSP and WTRG. Every light red. Records run from −.07R (AMZN, 62 signals) to +.03R (MA, 49).

The Rest Of The Scan

Hims and Hers Health 4-hour IVT chart: bullish bias, VWAP deviation +1 percent, dev filter open with next cross qualifying, confirmation score 7 on one timeframe, coiled at 87 percent compression, trend light unproven, 11 of 20 finished signals needed with 3 open, choppy anchor hold at 12.5 bars a side with 19 crossings, price 29.32. — **HIMS · 4h.** Wound to 87% on its cost line. Eleven finished signals, three still open.

CEVA · 4h. Amber short, confirmation up to 7, buyers still hold the volume. Skipped.

CF Industries 4-hour IVT chart: bearish bias, VWAP deviation -0.69 percent, dev filter open, confirmation score 2 on one timeframe, compression expanded at 15 percent, amber trend light at half size improving with 8.8 point cushion, record +.08R over 72 resolved signals with range -.05 to +.20, price 114.54. — **CF · 4h.** Amber light, bearish bias, two points of confirmation. Nothing to act on.

Walt Disney 4-hour IVT chart: bearish bias, VWAP deviation -2.62 percent against a 2 percent window, dev filter fail, confirmation score 4 on one timeframe, building compression at 85 percent, amber trend light at half size holding with 8.4 point cushion, record +.06R over 78 resolved signals, price 101.37. — **DIS · 4h.** Amber and wound to 85%, but 0.62 points past its short window.

Recursion Pharmaceuticals 4-hour IVT chart: bullish bias, VWAP deviation +2.13 percent, dev filter open, confirmation score 2 on one timeframe, compression expanded at 48 percent, trend light unproven with 7 of 20 finished signals needed, trending anchor hold at 62.5 bars a side with 3 crossings, price 4.07. — **RXRX · 4h.** Clean anchor, thin agreement. Confirmation 2 is the reason it waits.

VFF · 4h. A long with 17% of the volume on the sell side.

CECO Environmental 4-hour IVT chart: bullish bias, VWAP deviation +1.3 percent, dev filter open, confirmation score 9 across two timeframes, coiled at 89 percent compression, red trend light fading, record .00R over 47 resolved signals, choppy anchor hold with 20 crossings, price 71.98. — **CECO · 4h.** Confirmation 9 and coiled at 89%, under a red light.

Nutrien 4-hour IVT chart: bullish bias, VWAP deviation +0.04 percent, dev filter pass, confirmation score 7 across three timeframes, compression expanded at 23 percent, red trend light holding, record -.02R over 26 resolved signals, price 69.74. — **NTR · 4h.** Four cents from its cost line on three frames. Red light, no entry.

Berkshire Hathaway class B 4-hour IVT chart: bullish bias, VWAP deviation +0.99 percent, dev filter open, confirmation score 6 across two timeframes, building compression at 66 percent, red trend light fading, record +.03R over 83 resolved signals, price 500.80. — **BRK.B · 4h.** Two frames agree. The light is red and fading.

Denali Therapeutics 4-hour IVT chart: bearish bias, VWAP deviation -0.6 percent, dev filter pass, confirmation score 5 across two timeframes, signal tier 2, compression expanded at 57 percent, red trend light fading, record -.03R over 33 resolved signals, price 20.52. — **DNLI · 4h.** Tier 2 short under a red light with a record below zero.

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals 4-hour IVT chart: bearish bias, VWAP deviation -1.28 percent, dev filter open, confirmation score 6 on one timeframe, compression expanded at 62 percent, red trend light holding, record +.02R over 32 resolved signals, trending anchor hold with 3 crossings, price 499.82. — **MDGL · 4h.** Respected anchor, red light, record range straddling zero.

WisdomTree Battery Metals London 4-hour IVT chart in pence: bearish bias, VWAP deviation -0.2 percent, dev filter open, confirmation score 4 on one timeframe, building compression at 67 percent, trend light unavailable with a record error, choppy anchor hold with 14 crossings, price 1,584.0. — **AMPS · 4h.** Record error and a choppy anchor. No edge to size.

Corteva 4-hour IVT chart after the Vylor spin-off: bearish bias, VWAP deviation -78.21 percent, dev filter fail, confirmation score 10 across five timeframes, signal tier 3, SD2L firing, red trend light fading, record -.21R over 20 resolved signals, price 12.58. — **CTVA · 4h.** The spin-off moved the price, not the market. Every reading here is distorted.

Voyager Therapeutics 4-hour IVT chart: bearish bias, VWAP deviation -30.65 percent against a 3 percent window, dev filter fail, confirmation score 7 across three timeframes, SD2L snapback active, red trend light fading, record -.02R over 28 resolved signals. — **VYGR · 4h.** 30.65% under cost with the snapback signal live. Too late to sell.

Amazon 4-hour IVT chart: bullish bias, VWAP deviation +2.79 percent against a 2 percent window, dev filter fail, confirmation score 2 on one timeframe, compression expanded at 63 percent, bond-equity correlation 0.56, red trend light improving, record -.07R over 62 resolved signals, price 248.28. — **AMZN · 4h.** Past its window and under a red light.

Mastercard 4-hour IVT chart: bullish bias, VWAP deviation +1.9 percent, dev filter open, confirmation score 2 on one timeframe, compression expanded at 60 percent, red trend light fading, record +.03R over 49 resolved signals, trending anchor hold with 5 crossings, price 550.50. — **MA · 4h.** Near the top of its window on one point of agreement.

Microchip Technology 4-hour IVT chart: bullish bias, VWAP deviation +0.04 percent, dev filter open, confirmation score 2 on one timeframe, compression expanded at 64 percent, red trend light fading, record -.06R over 88 resolved signals, price 78.44. — **MCHP · 4h.** On the cost line, but the record is below zero across 88 signals.

Fluor 4-hour IVT chart: bullish bias, VWAP deviation +0.55 percent, dev filter open, confirmation score 4 on one timeframe, compression expanded at 4 percent, red trend light holding, record -.03R over 71 resolved signals, price 49.33. — **FLR · 4h.** No compression at all, 4%, and a red light.

CRISPR Therapeutics 4-hour IVT chart: bullish bias, VWAP deviation +0.93 percent, dev filter open, confirmation score 4 on one timeframe, building compression at 86 percent, red trend light fading, record -.03R over 39 resolved signals, choppy anchor hold with 21 crossings, price 55.46. — **CRSP · 4h.** Wound to 86%, crossed its cost line 21 times. Red.

Essential Utilities 4-hour IVT chart: bearish bias, VWAP deviation -2.34 percent against a 2 percent window, dev filter fail, confirmation score 4 on one timeframe, compression expanded at 7 percent, red trend light holding, record -.01R over 103 resolved signals, price 38.68. — **WTRG · 4h.** Out of window, red, flat record over 103 signals.

What The Words Mean

Cost line (the anchor) · the volume-weighted price large money actually paid over the current swing. Everything in this brief is measured as distance from it. Buy near it and you are paying what they paid. Buy far above it and you are paying their profit. Entry window · how far from the cost line a new entry can still be sensibly priced. Inside it, the entry is fairly priced. Past it, the move has already run and you wait for a pullback. Compression · how tightly the range has wound, from 0 to 100%. High means the next move should be a big one. It says nothing about direction, and it never overrides a shut window. Confirmation · how many independent readings agree, and across how many timeframes. Higher on both counts is better. Record · the average result per signal in units of risk, where being stopped out is exactly −1.00. Always published with the number of finished signals behind it, and measured over the same history the settings were chosen on. Below 20 finished signals no rate is published. A short record is not a verdict on the chart, only on what can be measured yet. Trend light · green means full size, amber means half, red means no new entry however good the chart looks. A chart with no light yet, because its record is still being built, is sized at half.

Readings captured Friday 2 October 2026 between 06:38 and 08:49 CEST from the IVT v14.4 terminal, on four-hour bars that had not yet closed. US exchanges open at 15:30 CEST and September payrolls print at 14:30 CEST. Cost lines and window edges are derived from the terminal's published percentage distances. AMPS is quoted in pence on the London Stock Exchange. Corteva's readings are distorted by Thursday's spin-off.

Records are in-sample and forecast nothing. No rate is published on fewer than twenty finished signals, and the sample size is printed beside every one.

Charts are unmodified terminal captures provided for reference, not as entry instructions. Educational content only. Not financial advice. Past results do not predict future ones.