One chart out of 32 gets a green light this morning, and it is a short. RBC Bearings climbed nearly 10% off its September low, back toward the price large money paid, and the terminal says sell it at full size. Copper waits for a breakout at half size. The S&P 500's buy window tops out at 7,706.
| Sell | RBC short, full size. The only green light on the scan, and price is already inside its entry window. |
| Buy | Copper long, half size, on a breakout close. Wound to 95% on its cost line. |
| Sell | VPG short, half size. It rallied straight back up into the price large money paid. |
| Wait | USDJPY. Friday's trigger never filled, payrolls or not. Same trigger, new exit. |
| Avoid | All four US indices. Four red lights, and all four sit outside their windows. |
September added 29,000 jobs, about a third of the forecast, unemployment rose to 4.2%, and July and August were cut by 60,000 combined. Odds of an October rate hike fell to 20% from 64% a week earlier, and the S&P 500 gained 0.73% to 7,722.72. The 10-year yield dipped to 5.18% intraday and still closed up at 5.28%. That is why the bond layer on the terminal stays off this morning.
Stocks and risk on, bonds off, same as Friday. What changed is the tailwind for longs, down to zero from +1, because the fear reading moved from low to neutral at the same level of 16. Bonds and stocks still move together at 0.59 to 0.69, so a Treasury hedge covers little.
| Book | Reading | What it means this morning |
|---|---|---|
| Indices, commodities, FX 10 charts | +2 of 10.5 | Up from +1 on Friday. Risk leads, bonds and stocks move together at 0.66. Copper, natural gas and the yen are the three amber lights in this book. |
| Single stocks 22 charts | −1 of 10.5 | Down from +1 on Friday, with no clear leader. One green light, six amber, four with no working record yet, eleven red. |
The broad-market panel improved for a second session. Stock charts read Diverging, −4 of 8, from −7 on Friday, and the index charts read Neutral, 0 of 8. 24.7% of stocks sit above their 50-day average, up from 22.9%, and 42.5% above their 200-day, up from 41.2%. The McClellan oscillator turned positive, +13.6 on the stock feed from −28. Three in four stocks are still under their 50-day. RBC is the only full-size position on the Board.
| # | Ticker | Dir | Entry | Why it is on this list | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RBC | Short | 🔒 Members | A sharp rally back toward the price large money paid, on a chart whose cost line has been crossed once in 125 barsConf 3 / 1 frame · building 95% · +.13R over 73 signals, range +.02 to +.24 · green, holding, 15.1-point cushion | Full |
| 2 | COPPER | Long | 🔒 Members | Wound almost to the maximum, sitting just above its cost line, with two timeframes agreeingConf 6 / 2 frames · coiled 95% · +.05R over 137 signals · amber, improving | Half |
| 3 | VPG | Short | 🔒 Members | Rallied from $61 to $79 in two weeks, straight up into its cost lineConf 3 / 1 frame · +.07R over 45 signals · amber, holding, 9.8-point cushion · 1 crossing in 125 bars | Half |
| 4 | NATGAS | Long | 🔒 Members | Bounced off last week's low back onto its cost line, with the best amber record on the scanConf 3 / 1 frame · +.09R over 133 signals, range +.00 to +.17 · amber, improving, 9.8-point cushion | Half |
| 5 | VLTO | Long | 🔒 Members | Friday's top name, still inside its window and still woundConf 8 / 1 frame · coiled 76% · record: 7 of 20 signals, no rate · no light yet | Half |
| 6 | DIS | Short | 🔒 Members | Bounced back inside its short window, twenty cents from the edge, range buildingConf 3 / 1 frame · building 79% · +.06R over 78 signals · amber, holding, 8.4-point cushion | Half |
| 7 | USDJPY | Long | 🔒 Members | On its cost line to the pip, with three cost lines convergingConf 6 / 2 frames · convergence 85% · +.06R over 177 signals · amber, improving, 7.6-point cushion | Half |
The S&P 500's cost line sits at 7,555. The cash CFD reads 7,725.83, 2.26% above it, which leaves it 20 points over the top of its 2% buy window. The range is wound to 69% and two timeframes agree at confirmation 7. A dip to 7,706 puts it back inside the window. The light is red and improving, 12.2 points from turning, record −.12R over 26 signals, so nothing gets bought there until it changes.
You can check this against the tape yourself, which is why it sits on the free side of the gate. The RBC levels do not.
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Cost line (the anchor) · the volume-weighted price large money actually paid over the current swing. Everything in this brief is measured as distance from it. Buy near it and you are paying what they paid. Buy far above it and you are paying their profit. Entry window · how far from the cost line a new entry can still be sensibly priced. Inside it, the entry is fairly priced. Past it, the move has already run and you wait for a pullback. Compression · how tightly the range has wound, from 0 to 100%. High means the next move should be a big one. It says nothing about direction, and it never overrides a shut window. Confirmation · how many independent readings agree, and across how many timeframes. Higher on both counts is better. Record · the average result per signal in units of risk, where being stopped out is exactly −1.00. Always published with the number of finished signals behind it, and measured over the same history the settings were chosen on. Below 20 finished signals no rate is published. A short record is not a verdict on the chart, only on what can be measured yet. Trend light · green means full size, amber means half, red means no new entry however good the chart looks. A chart with no light yet, because its record is still being built, is sized at half. The cushion is how close the light is to changing.
Readings captured Monday 5 October 2026 between 10:08 and 10:23 CEST from the IVT v14.4 terminal, on four-hour bars that had not yet closed. US exchanges open at 15:30 CEST and ISM services prints at 16:00 CEST. Cost lines and window edges are derived from the terminal's published percentage distances. Index levels come from CFD feeds and will differ from your futures contract. Copper is the COMEX December contract in dollars per pound.
Records are in-sample and forecast nothing. No rate is published on fewer than twenty finished signals, and the sample size is printed beside every one.
Charts are unmodified terminal captures provided for reference, not as entry instructions. Educational content only. Not financial advice. Past results do not predict future ones.