Nordic Cantillon File · Telecoms

TeliaTELIA

Telia Company sells mobile, broadband and TV to households and companies in Sweden, Finland, Norway, Denmark and the Baltic countries. The TV and media business has been reported as discontinued since 2025.

SEK 189bnMarket value
SEK 48.23Share price
SEK 81.0bnRevenue 2025
12.9%Operating margin
01 Where the money comes from

Telia had revenue of SEK 81.0bn in 2025. That is 2% less a year since 2020.

Revenue by year, operating margin as the line
SEK 89bn2020SEK 88bn2021SEK 86bn2022SEK 89bn2023SEK 81bn2024SEK 81bn2025

Subscriptions bring stable monthly income, but the networks need large investment every year. What decides the value is free cash flow after investment, and most of it is paid out to shareholders.

Latest report: January–September 2026, continuing operations

NowYear before
RevenueSEK 61,980mSEK 59,682m
Service revenueSEK 52,993mSEK 50,776m
Adjusted EBITDASEK 25,192m, 40.6%SEK 24,227m, 40.6%
Operating incomeSEK 11,173mSEK 10,964m
Earnings per share, totalSEK 1.68SEK 1.23
Free cash flowSEK 7,848mSEK 6,885m
CAPEX excl. spectrum and leasesSEK 8,362mSEK 8,590m

Source: Telia Company, Interim report January–September 2026, p. 2. Interim reports are not filed in ESEF, so these figures are read by hand from the report.

Revenue from the group income statement in the annual report (ESEF). Growth is the average annual change.

02 Where the money goes

Of every 100 in sales, 13 became operating profit in 2025. Over the period it has ranged from −20 to 17.

YearRevenueOperating profitMarginNet profitOperating cash flowCash conversion
2020SEK 89.2bn−SEK 17.9bn−20.0%−SEK 23.0bnSEK 28.6bn–
2021SEK 88.3bnSEK 15.2bn17.2%SEK 11.7bnSEK 27.4bn234%
2022SEK 85.6bn−SEK 9.2bn−10.8%−SEK 14.6bnSEK 24.0bn–
2023SEK 88.6bnSEK 5.0bn5.6%SEK 303mSEK 24.7bn8142%
2024SEK 81.0bnSEK 10.8bn13.4%SEK 7.1bnSEK 21.2bn299%
2025SEK 81.0bnSEK 10.4bn12.9%SEK 3.5bnSEK 27.6bn783%

On average, 2365% of profit arrived as cash over the period.

Operating margin = operating profit divided by revenue. Cash conversion = cash flow from operations divided by net profit.

03 Who gets it

Earnings per share went from −SEK 5.62 in 2020 to SEK 0.90 in 2025. Dividends took 78% of owner earnings over the last 5 years.

YearOwner earningsDividendsEPSDPSShares
2020SEK 15.1bnSEK 10.0bn−SEK 5.62SEK 2.454,091m
2021SEK 11.7bnSEK 8.2bnSEK 2.86SEK 2.004,084m
2022SEK 8.1bnSEK 8.3bn−SEK 3.63SEK 2.054,033m
2023SEK 9.2bnSEK 5.9bnSEK 0.08SEK 1.563,788m
2024SEK 7.3bnSEK 7.9bnSEK 1.80SEK 2.003,933m
2025SEK 12.6bnSEK 7.9bnSEK 0.90SEK 2.013,917m

The share count has fallen 0.9% a year, so each share owns a little more of the company every year.

Owner earnings = cash flow from operations, minus investment in tangible and intangible assets, minus lease repayments. Share count is derived as net profit divided by earnings per share.

04 What protects it

Return on capital employed was 7% after tax in 2025. Net debt is SEK 61.7bn, 2.2 times operating profit before depreciation.

Return on capital employed has ranged from 7% to 7% after tax over the period.

Net debt was SEK 61.7bn at the end of 2025, on Telia's own measure, which treats half of the hybrid capital as equity and includes lease liabilities.

Competitive advantages, our assessment

Networks and spectrum●●○The largest or second-largest operator in most of its markets.
Fibre and broadband●●○Large fixed networks that are costly for a competitor to build alongside.
Switching costs●○○Customers can change operator easily, so competition presses prices.

Return on capital employed = operating profit after 20.6% Swedish tax, divided by equity plus net debt at year end.

05 What the price assumes

Today's price needs owner earnings to grow 9% a year for ten years. Revenue has grown −2% a year.

Required returnGrowth needed
8%7%
9%9%
10%11%

Market value SEK 189bn, enterprise value SEK 251bn. Base: owner earnings of SEK 9.7bn a year on average over the last three years, an owner earnings yield of 3.9%.

Reverse discounted cash flow. Enterprise value = market value plus net debt. The base is average owner earnings over the last three years. Required return 9%, 10 years, then 2.5% growth.

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Where every number comes from
ItemAmountPeriodSource
RevenueSEK 81.0bn2025-12-31Annual report 2025 (ESEF)ifrs-full:Revenue
Operating profitSEK 10.4bn2025-12-31Annual report 2025 (ESEF)ifrs-full:ProfitLossFromOperatingActivities
Net profit, ownersSEK 3.5bn2025-12-31Annual report 2025 (ESEF)ifrs-full:ProfitLossAttributableToOwnersOfParent
Cash flow from operationsSEK 27.6bn2025-12-31Annual report 2025 (ESEF)ifrs-full:CashFlowsFromUsedInOperatingActivities
EquitySEK 51.1bn2025-12-31Annual report 2025 (ESEF)ifrs-full:EquityAttributableToOwnersOfParent
CashSEK 11.5bn2025-12-31Annual report 2025 (ESEF)ifrs-full:CashAndCashEquivalents
Net debtSEK 61,749m2025-12-31Interim report January–September 2026, p. 14
Net debtSEK 65,614m2026-09-30Interim report January–September 2026, p. 14

The figures come from the company's annual reports in the machine-readable ESEF format, via filings.xbrl.org and the Swedish financial regulator. The latest filing wins, so restated comparatives replace the originals. Anything not tagged in ESEF is given with its source and page.

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General analysis and educational material, not personal investment advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell. The figures are mechanical and can be rebuilt from the company's public reports; the text is the author's judgement. Author's position in Telia: not disclosed. Data to 2025-12-31, price as of 2026-10-23.