Nordic Cantillon File · Industrial components

SKFSKF B

SKF is the world's largest maker of rolling bearings, with seals, lubrication systems and condition monitoring around them. The automotive business is being distributed to shareholders and lists as SKF Vertevo on Nasdaq Stockholm on 1 December 2026.

SEK 123bnMarket value
SEK 269.50Share price
SEK 91.6bnRevenue 2025
8.5%Operating margin
01 Where the money comes from

SKF had revenue of SEK 91.6bn in 2025. That is 4% more a year since 2020.

Revenue by year, operating margin as the line
SEK 75bn2020SEK 82bn2021SEK 97bn2022SEK 104bn2023SEK 99bn2024SEK 92bn2025

Bearings sit in almost everything that turns, from wind turbines and trains to paper machines. The industrial business, which stays in SKF, has a higher margin than automotive, and much of it is sold through distributors as replacement parts. The annual report figures below cover the whole group including automotive; the latest report shows only the continuing business.

Latest report: January–September 2026, continuing operations without automotive

NowYear before
Net salesSEK 51,215mSEK 51,491m
Organic growth3.5%1.2%
Adjusted operating profitSEK 8,383m, 16.4%SEK 8,137m, 15.8%
Operating profitSEK 8,108m, 15.8%SEK 6,357m, 12.3%
Earnings per shareSEK 11.68SEK 8.00
Cash flow from operating activitiesSEK 4,513mSEK 5,336m
Net debt / adjusted EBITDA1.1 times0.9 times

Source: SKF, Q3 2026 report, p. 1. Interim reports are not filed in ESEF, so these figures are read by hand from the report.

Revenue from the group income statement in the annual report (ESEF). Growth is the average annual change.

02 Where the money goes

Of every 100 in sales, 8 became operating profit in 2025. Over the period it has ranged from 8 to 13.

YearRevenueOperating profitMarginNet profitOperating cash flowCash conversion
2020SEK 74.9bnSEK 7.1bn9.4%SEK 4.3bnSEK 8.3bn192%
2021SEK 81.7bnSEK 10.8bn13.2%SEK 7.3bnSEK 5.2bn72%
2022SEK 96.9bnSEK 8.5bn8.8%SEK 4.5bnSEK 5.6bn126%
2023SEK 103.9bnSEK 11.1bn10.7%SEK 6.4bnSEK 13.8bn216%
2024SEK 98.7bnSEK 10.3bn10.5%SEK 6.5bnSEK 10.8bn167%
2025SEK 91.6bnSEK 7.8bn8.5%SEK 3.9bnSEK 8.4bn214%

On average, 164% of profit arrived as cash over the period.

Operating margin = operating profit divided by revenue. Cash conversion = cash flow from operations divided by net profit.

03 Who gets it

Earnings per share went from SEK 9.44 in 2020 to SEK 8.62 in 2025. Dividends took 107% of owner earnings over the last 5 years.

YearOwner earningsDividendsEPSDPSShares
2020SEK 4.1bnSEK 1.8bnSEK 9.44SEK 3.91455m
2021SEK 620mSEK 3.0bnSEK 16.10SEK 6.61455m
2022−SEK 381mSEK 3.2bnSEK 9.81SEK 7.13456m
2023SEK 7.2bnSEK 3.4bnSEK 14.04SEK 7.37455m
2024SEK 4.8bnSEK 3.8bnSEK 14.22SEK 8.42455m
2025SEK 3.7bnSEK 3.6bnSEK 8.62SEK 7.93456m

The share count has been roughly unchanged.

Owner earnings = cash flow from operations, minus investment in tangible and intangible assets, minus lease repayments. Share count is derived as net profit divided by earnings per share.

04 What protects it

Return on capital employed was 9% after tax in 2025. Net debt is SEK 12.1bn.

Return on capital employed has ranged from 9% to 9% after tax over the period.

SKF had net debt of SEK 12.1bn at the start of 2026, on its own measure, which includes pension liabilities. Without pensions the debt is just over half that size.

Competitive advantages, our assessment

Scale and brand●●●The world's largest in bearings, with a name maintenance engineers trust.
Distributor network●●○Replacement bearings are sold through thousands of distributors, at a higher margin than sales into new machines.
Switching costs●○○Standard bearings can be swapped for a competitor's; specialised applications bind harder.

Industrial customers in energy, mining, food and rail, among others, and distributors who sell on to maintenance departments. They buy on service life and reliability, because a breakdown costs more than the bearing.

Return on capital employed = operating profit after 20.6% Swedish tax, divided by equity plus net debt at year end.

05 What the price assumes

Today's price needs owner earnings to grow 9% a year for ten years. Revenue has grown 4% a year.

Required returnGrowth needed
8%7%
9%9%
10%11%

Market value SEK 123bn, enterprise value SEK 135bn. Base: owner earnings of SEK 5.2bn a year on average over the last three years, an owner earnings yield of 3.9%.

Reverse discounted cash flow. Enterprise value = market value plus net debt. The base is average owner earnings over the last three years. Required return 9%, 10 years, then 2.5% growth.

06 Is the money flowing in Members

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Where every number comes from
ItemAmountPeriodSource
RevenueSEK 91.6bn2025-12-31Annual report 2025 (ESEF)ifrs-full:RevenueFromContractsWithCustomers
Operating profitSEK 7.8bn2025-12-31Annual report 2025 (ESEF)ifrs-full:ProfitLossFromOperatingActivities
Net profit, ownersSEK 3.9bn2025-12-31Annual report 2025 (ESEF)ifrs-full:ProfitLossAttributableToOwnersOfParent
Cash flow from operationsSEK 8.4bn2025-12-31Annual report 2025 (ESEF)ifrs-full:CashFlowsFromUsedInOperatingActivities
EquitySEK 53.6bn2025-12-31Annual report 2025 (ESEF)ifrs-full:EquityAttributableToOwnersOfParent
CashSEK 9.0bn2025-12-31Annual report 2025 (ESEF)ifrs-full:CashAndCashEquivalents
Net debt, incl. pensionsSEK 12,052m2026-01-01Q3 2026 report, p. 4
Net debt, incl. pensionsSEK 14,136m2026-09-30Q3 2026 report, p. 4
Listing of SKF Vertevo (automotive)1 December 2026Q3 2026 report, p. 2

The figures come from the company's annual reports in the machine-readable ESEF format, via filings.xbrl.org and the Swedish financial regulator. The latest filing wins, so restated comparatives replace the originals. Anything not tagged in ESEF is given with its source and page.

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General analysis and educational material, not personal investment advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell. The figures are mechanical and can be rebuilt from the company's public reports; the text is the author's judgement. Author's position in SKF: not disclosed. Data to 2025-12-31, price as of 2026-10-23.